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Over it. Almost everything here is already called.

2026-08-25 23:27 UTC

The spread

$826k / 24h
2,517 markets
0c25c50c75c100c
toss-ups 2.6%locked 81.0%

Too close to call

46cWill Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?$2k
47cWill Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?$2k
48cWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?$2k
52cTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?$1k
47cWill Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?$1k

Big swings today

-16cWill Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?$5k
-14cNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$13k
-10cWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$12k
-8cWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?$9k
+4cWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$13k
-4cDoes Ox Alpha belong to Safe Superintelligence?$5k
+4cDoes Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?$57k
-3cGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?$9k
-3cDoes Ox Alpha belong to Xiaomi?$5k
+2cWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5k
-1cWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$8k
+1cWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$7k
+1cWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$8k
0cWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$32k

Where the money is

Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?$124k
Largest Company end of August?$102k
Which company has best AI model end of August?$91k
Largest Company end of September?$58k
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?$32k
Largest Company end of December 2026?$27k
Which company has the best AI model end of September?$25k
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?$23k
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?$21k
GPT-6 released by…?$19k
3rd Largest Company end of September?$19k
What will Zoom say during their next earnings call?$15k
Gemini 4.0 released by...?$11k
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?$11k